Sunday, 6 September 2009 |
19:00 - 21:15 |
Welcome Reception IAA LIFE Colloquium |
Monday, 7 September 2009 |
09.00 - 10.30 |
Opening ceremony IAA LIFE Colloquium |
11.00 - 12.30 |
Breakout-sessions with parallel talks
Session 1 |
Chris Watts, UK |
Longevity and mortality risk transfer in the capital markets through the LifeMetrics platform [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Topic 1 |
Tiziana Torri, D |
Building blocks for a mortality index in an international context [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Guido Grützner, D |
Cautionary remarks about conclusions from the observation of record-life expectancy [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
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Session 2 |
Alexander Kling, D |
Tax incentives for annuitization – direct and indirect effects [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 2 |
Benjamin Avanzi, AU |
What is it that make the Swiss annuitise? A description of the Swiss retirement system [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Esben Massoti Kryger, DK |
Pension fund design under fairness and efficiency constraints [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
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Session 3 |
Gudrun Hörmann, D |
Optimal Risk Classification and Underwriting Risk for Substandard Annuities [ abstract] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 2 |
Adele Groyer, UK, Inga Kreiensiek, D |
Assessing critical illness - the facts behind the stats [ abstract] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Werner Hürlimann, CH |
Actuarial analysis of the multiple life endowment insurance contract [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
|
12.30 - 14.00 |
Lunch Break |
14.00 - 15.00 |
Keynote-lecture Topic 1: Biometric Risks and their Securitization
Michel Denuit, B (Catholic University of Louvain)
Dynamic life tables: Construction and applications [ presentation ] |
15.00 - 16.30 |
Breakout-Sessions with parallel talks
Session 1 |
Steven Haberman, UK |
Comparative study of mortality forecasting models [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Topic 1 |
Andrew Cairns, UK |
Stochastic multi-population mortality models [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Juliette Duchassing, F; Fabrice Suter, CH |
Longevity: A "simple" stochastic modelling of mortality [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
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Session 2 |
Nadine Gatzert, D |
Understanding the death benefit switch option in universal life policies [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 2 |
Jari Niittuinperä, FI |
Mortality when converting from conventional life insurance policies into universal life policies [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Martin Eling, CH |
The performance of microinsurance programs: A frontier efficiency analysis [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
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Session 3 |
Stefan Heyers, D |
Managing value using market consistent methodologies: MCEV-value management accelerator or hand brake? [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Topic 4 |
Nick Dexter, UK |
Market Value Management [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Tigran Kalberer, CH |
Internal Models [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
|
16.30 - 17.00 |
Coffee Break |
17.00 - 18.00 |
Keynote-lecture Topic 2: Designing Life Insurance Products
Marcus Christiansen, D (University of Rostock)
Sensitivity Analysis and Worst-Case Analysis - Making use of netting effects when designing insurance contracts [ presentation ] |
19:00 - 22:30 |
Informal Dinner LIFE Colloquium |
Tuesday, 8 September 2009 |
08.30 - 09.30 |
Award ceremony IAA LIFE Section Prize
Daniel Bauer
A universal pricing framework for guaranteed minimum benefits in variable annuities [ paper ] |
09.30 - 10.20 |
Keynote-lecture Topic 1: Biometric Risks and their Securitization
Annamaria Olivieri, I (University of Parma)
Stochastic mortality: experience-based modeling and application issues consistent with Solvency II [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
10.20 - 10.50 |
Coffee Break |
10.50- 11.50 |
Breakout-Sessions with parallel talks
Session 1 |
Dr. Paul Triggs, D |
Does morbidity modelling solve the problem of predicting death and disability? [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Topic 1 |
Susanna Levantesi, I |
Biometric risks assessment and management in annuities with long term care benefits [ abstract ] |
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Session 2 |
Frederik Weber, D |
Mortality-indexed annuities: Avoiding unwanted risk [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 1 |
Esther Schütz, D |
The biometric risk in internal models for Solvency II [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Topic 4 |
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Session 3 |
Larry Rubin, USA |
Economic measurement of insurance liabilities [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 4 |
Ed Morgan, UK; Matthias Bonikowski, D |
The role and structure of profit participation products in the European life insurance market following Solvency II [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
|
11.50 - 12.40 |
Keynote-lecture Topic 4: Solvency, accounting and the evaluation of life insurance business
Norbert Heinen, D (former president of DAV, B&W Deloitte)
Solvency, accounting and the evaluation of life insurance business [ presentation ] |
12.40 - 14.10 |
Lunch Break |
14.10 - 15.00 |
Keynote-lecture Topic 4: Solvency, accounting and the evaluation of life insurance business
Paolo Cadoni, UK
Solvency II and internal models [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
15.00 - 16.00 |
Panel discussion on Topic 3: Life insurance and financial markets
"The credit crunch, financial uncertainty and the life insurance industry"
Chair: Chair: Steven Haberman, CASS Business School UK
Panellists: David Blake, Cass Business School UK; Joe Guastella, Deloitte USA; Gerhard Rupprecht, Allianz SE D; Paolo Cadoni, FSA UK; Thomas Steffen, CEIOPS/BaFin D |
16.30 - 17.00 |
Coffee Break |
17.00 - 17.30 |
Award Ceremony SCOR-Prize for Actuarial Sciences |
17.30 - 18.00 |
IAA LIFE Section General Assembly |
19:15 - 23:45 |
Gala Dinner IAA LIFE Colloquium |
19:00 - 21:15 |
Welcome Reception IAA AFIR/ERM Colloquium |
Wednesday, 9 September 2009 |
08:30 - 08:45 |
Opening ceremony for the joint AFIR/ERM/LIFE programme |
08:45 - 09:35 |
Keynote-lecture Topic 3: Life insurance and financial markets
David Blake, UK
The new life market: From survivor bonds to life settlements securitisation [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
09:35 - 10:25 |
Keynote-lecture Topic 3: Life insurance and financial markets
Christian Mumenthaler, CH (Swiss Reinsurance Company)
Risk management in a challenging environment [ presentation ] |
10:25 - 10:50 |
Coffee Break |
10:50 - 12:30 |
Breakout-Sessions with parallel talks Topic 3
Session 1 |
Romain Bridet, F |
Extreme Mortality Bonds [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Heinz Holler, D; Gary Finkelstein, UK |
Variable annuity risk management and hedging effectiveness [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Lars Pralle, D |
Variable annuities: Some reserving and regulation considerations [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Oskar Goecke, D |
The group-balanced concept of long-term saving: A continuous time model [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
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Session 2 |
Ralph Stevens, NL |
Longevity risk and hedge effects in portfolios of life insurance products with investment risk [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Thorsten Wagner, D |
Replicating portfolios in the life insurance business: Use and limitations [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Raimund Rhiel, D |
Company pension plans and financial crisis: Lessons learned? [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
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Session 3 |
Anne Puustelli, FI |
Hedging against volatility, jumps and longevity risk in participating life insurance contracts - a Bayesian analysis [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Laura Ballotta, UK |
Investment strategies and risk management for participating contracts [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Frederic Planchet, F |
Optimal strategies of hedging portfolio of unit-linked life insurance contracts with minimum death guarantee [ abstract ] |
|
12.30 - 14.00 |
Lunch Break |
14:00 - 18:45 |
Excursion to Nymphenburg Palace |
19:00 - 21:30 |
Reception by the City of Munich at the Council Chamber, forming the closure of the 3rd IAA LIFE Colloquium |
Thursday, 10 September 2009 |
09:00 - 09:30 |
Opening ceremony AFIR/ERM |
09:30 - 10:30 |
Keynote-lecture Topic 10: Solvency, guarantees and risk capital
Karel van Hulle, B (Head of the Accounting and Auditing Unit at the European Commission, Directorate-General “Internal Market”)
Solvency II: A challenge also for actuaries [ presentation ] |
10:30 - 11:00 |
Coffee Break |
11:00 - 12:30 |
Breakout-Sessions with parallel talks
Session 1 |
Gyöngi Bugar, HU |
A longitudinal study on portfolio optimisation: Is the “success” time dependent? [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 5 |
Andrew Cairns, UK |
Mathematical models and the credit crunch [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Harald Kinateder, D |
Market risk prediction under long memory: when VaR is higher than expected [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
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Session 2 |
Thomas Salisbury, CA |
Valuation, hedging and demand for ruin-contingent life annuities (RCLA) [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Topic 6 |
Mogens Steffensen, DK |
Pension fund management based on solutions to constrained consumption-investment problems [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Shaun Levitan, ZA, Youri Dolya, ZA |
Optimal post-retirement investment strategies [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
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Session 3 |
Alexander Baier, D |
An integrated Cost of Risk model and its application to company valuation [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 10 |
Rocco Cerchiara, I |
Multivariate analysis to modelling and aggregating surrender risk under internal risk models [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Alexander Dotterweich, D |
Optimization of limit systems for investment risks in accordance with Solvency II and German MaRisk [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
|
12:30 - 14:00 |
Lunch Break |
14:00 - 15:00 |
Breakout-Sessions with parallel talks
Session 1 |
Antje Mahayni, D |
How good are portfolio insurance strategies? [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 5 |
Thomas Moller, DK |
Risk-minimization with mortality derivatives: mixed dynamic and static hedging [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
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Session 2 |
Arne Hove, NO |
Pricing interest rate guarantees in Norwegian defined benefit pension [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Topic 7 |
Werner Hürlimann, CH |
Quasi-exact numerical evaluation of synthetic CDO prices [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
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Session 3 |
Aldo Balestreri, I; Jeremy Kent, UK |
Dynamic asset liability management [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 9 |
Stefan Graf, D |
Risk analysis and valuation of life insurance contracts: combining actuarial and financial approaches [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
|
15:00 - 16:00 |
IAA AFIR/ERM Section General Assembly |
16:00 - 16:30 |
Coffee Break |
16:30 - 18:00 |
Breakout-Sessions with parallel talks
Session 1 |
Benjamin Avanzi, AU |
On the level of national retirement savings with annuitisation and cross-subsidies: a two-tiered economic model [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 6 |
Mabrouk Chetouane, F |
Defined contribution pension plans management and market opportunities [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Ralf Korn, D |
Asset allocation for a DC pension fund under regime switching environment [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
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Session 2 |
Albert Enders, D |
Index-linked longevity risk transfer – reduced basis risk with sociodemographic parameter [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Topic 8 |
Helena Aro, FI |
A robust approach to stochastiv mortality modelling [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Johnny Li, CA |
Canonical valuation of mortality-linked securities [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
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Session 3 |
Matti Koivu, FI |
Cash-flow based valuation of pension liabilities [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 10 |
Olivier Le Courtois, F |
Lévy-VaR and Basle Multipliers [ abstract ] |
Hubert Müller, USA |
Economic Capital – Recent Market Trends and Best Practices for Implementation [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
|
19.00 - |
Gala Dinner IAA AFIR/ERM Colloquium |
Friday, 11 September 2009 |
09:00 - 10:00 |
Award Ceremony IAA AFIR/ERM Section Prize and Best Paper Award
Mikkel Dahl
A discrete-time model for reinvestment risk in bound markets [ paper ] |
10:00 - 11:00 |
Breakout-Sessions with parallel talks
Session 1 |
Hal Pedersen, CA |
What are the essential features of a good economic scenario generator? [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Topic 5 |
Frederik Ruez, D |
The impact of stochastic volatility on pricing, hedging, and hedge efficiency of variable annuity guarantees [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
|
Session 2 |
Susanne Kruse, D |
On the pricing of inflation-indexed caps [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 7 |
Teemu Pennanen, FI |
Pricing and hedging of mortality linked securities [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
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Session 3 |
Christian Kraus, D |
Market consistent embedded value in non-life insurance: How to measure it and why [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 9 |
Olivier Le Courtois, F |
On credit and surrender risks in insurance companies [ abstract ] |
|
11:00 - 11:30 |
Coffee Break |
11.30 - 12:30 |
Breakout-Sessions with parallel talks
Session 1 |
Enrico Schumann, CH |
Risk-reward optimisation for long-run investors: an empirical analysis [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 5 |
Eric Thorlacius, USA |
The model quantitative firm [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
|
Session 2 |
Michael Sherris, AU |
Pricing and Hedging synthetic CDO tranche spread risks [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 7 |
Andreas C. Gintschel, D |
A global liquidity factor for fixed income pricing [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
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Session 3 |
Rob Thomson, ZA |
The arbitrage-free equilibrium pricing of liabilitites in an incomplete market: Application to a South African retirement fund [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 9 |
Petri Hilli, FI |
Liability driven optimization of investment strategies [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
|
12:30 - 14:00 |
Lunch Break |
14:00 - 15:00 |
Keynote-lecture Topic 6: Pensions: Managing accumulations and decumulations
Olivia S. Mitchell, USA (Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania)
Global challenges in pension risk management [ abstract ] |
15:00 - 16:30 |
Breakout-Sessions with parallel talks
Session 1 |
Ralph Rogalla, D |
Managing contribution and capital market risk in a funded public defined benefit plan: impact of CVaR cost constraints [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Topic 5 |
Elena Vigna, I |
Mean-variance inefficiency of CRRA and CARA utility functions for portfolio selection in defined contribution pension schemes [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Ljudmila Bertschi, CH |
Solvency requirements for Swiss pension funds and how to ensure the guarantee of benefit payments at any time [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
|
Session 2 |
Shimizu Nobuhiro, JP |
Economic value of contribution cashflows for a sponsoring employer of a DB pension plan and measures to bring the economic value under control within an affordable range [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
Topic 6 |
Ferdinand Haas, D |
Guaranteed saving plans: An analysis of alternative fund-linked strategies [ abstract ] |
Frederik Weber, D |
Select birth cohorts [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
|
Session 3 |
Chun Shang Wong, HK |
Estimating portfolio Value-at-Risk with multivariate mixture time series models [ abstract ] [ presentation ] |
Topic 6 |
Laura Ziani, I |
Mean-variance efficient strategies in proportional reinsurance under group correlation in a Gaussian framework [ abstract ] [ presentation ] [ paper ] |
|
16:30 - 17:00 |
Coffee Break |
17:00 - 18:00 |
Closing ceremony |
19.00 - |
Informal Dinner IAA AFIR/ERM Colloquium |